Impact Evaluation and Data Analysis of Programmes Training Course

Impact Evaluation and Data Analysis of Programmes Training Course

This intensive 5-day training course provides participants with the advanced conceptual framework and practical statistical tools required to rigorously assess the causal impact of development, social, and policy programmes. The curriculum is built upon global best practices, focusing on how to design evaluations that isolate the net effect of an intervention from other external factors. Participants will gain mastery over the core concepts of counterfactual analysis and learn to select the most appropriate evaluation methodology—ranging from experimental designs (RCTs) to various quasi-experimental and non-experimental methods—to answer the critical question: "What difference did the programme truly make?"

The course begins by establishing a strong foundation in evaluation planning, including developing a robust Theory of Change and framing effective evaluation questions. It quickly transitions into the technical application of advanced data analysis techniques, providing hands-on practice with statistical software (Stata or R) for methods such as Propensity Score Matching (PSM), Difference-in-Differences (DiD), and regression analysis for impact attribution. The final modules focus on data quality management, integrating qualitative insights for holistic understanding, and translating complex statistical findings into clear, actionable reports for policymakers and stakeholders, ensuring evaluation results lead to informed decision-making.

Who Should Attend the Training

  • Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) professionals
  • Programme managers and coordinators
  • Donor agency staff
  • Government policy analysts
  • Researchers and academics

Objectives of the Training

  1. Design a strong evaluation framework, including a Theory of Change and appropriate causal attribution strategies.
  2. Select and justify the use of experimental, quasi-experimental, or non-experimental evaluation methods based on programme context.
  3. Apply advanced statistical techniques, specifically Propensity Score Matching and Difference-in-Differences, using specialized software.
  4. Manage, clean, and analyze complex longitudinal or cross-sectional data sets for rigorous impact estimation.
  5. Synthesize quantitative impact results with qualitative data to produce holistic, mixed-methods evaluation reports.
  6. Effectively communicate technical impact evaluation findings to diverse, non-technical audiences to maximize utilization.

Benefits of the Training

Personal Benefits

  • Becoming proficient in the statistical software required for advanced IE
  • Gaining internationally recognized skills in causal inference and impact attribution
  • Increased credibility and technical capacity in the M&E field
  • Ability to design research that meets donor and international standards
  • Enhanced career opportunities in evaluation leadership roles

Organizational Benefits

  • Production of more credible and methodologically sound impact evidence
  • Improved resource allocation decisions based on verified programme effectiveness
  • Stronger accountability to beneficiaries and funding partners
  • Reduction in the reliance on external evaluation consultants for technical analysis
  • Enhanced organizational learning and programme theory refinement

Training Methodology

  • Interactive lectures and group discussions on complex theoretical concepts
  • Hands-on data analysis labs using real-world programme data sets
  • Case study analysis of landmark impact evaluations from various sectors
  • Practical exercises in designing evaluation instruments and data quality assurance protocols
  • Group assignments focused on developing a full evaluation design document

Trainer Experience

Our trainers are seasoned impact evaluation specialists and published academics who have led large-scale evaluations for international development agencies, governments, and NGOs worldwide. They possess deep expertise in both econometric analysis and applied M&E, ensuring the training material is grounded in rigorous academic theory while being entirely relevant to practical programming realities.

Quality Statement

We are dedicated to delivering a technically robust and practically applicable training experience. The course content adheres to the methodological standards set by leading international development banks and evaluation networks. We guarantee a small class size, personalized mentorship, and access to curated, high-quality data sets for hands-on practice, ensuring participants leave with tangible, usable skills.

Tailor-made courses

We offer the flexibility to customize this training to focus on specific sectors (e.g., health, education, infrastructure), particular methodological challenges (e.g., dealing with small samples, measuring institutional change), or the use of specific statistical software platforms (e.g., prioritizing R over Stata). We can also integrate your organization's internal data sets and M&E protocols into the practical sessions.

 

Course Duration: 5 days

Training fee: USD 1500

Module 1: Foundational Concepts in Programme Evaluation

  • Definitions: Monitoring, Evaluation, Impact, and Outcome
  • The role and timing of different evaluation types (formative, process, summative, impact)
  • Causality and attribution: understanding the Counterfactual challenge
  • Introduction to the core principles of the D-I-E methodology (Design, Implement, Evaluate)
  • Ethical considerations in program evaluation and data collection

Practical session: Reviewing an existing programme and drafting three key evaluation questions (Process, Outcome, and Impact).

Module 2: Logic Models, Theory of Change, and Evaluation Questions

  • Developing a comprehensive Theory of Change (ToC) model
  • Differentiating between inputs, activities, outputs, outcomes, and impact
  • Identifying causal pathways, assumptions, and critical external factors
  • Translating the ToC into measurable indicators and metrics
  • Refining evaluation questions to align with the proposed ToC

Practical session: Designing a full Logic Model and Theory of Change for a hypothetical development intervention.

Module 3: Choosing the Right Impact Evaluation Design and Counterfactuals

  • Overview of Experimental Designs (RCTs) and their requirements
  • Overview of Quasi-Experimental Designs (DiD, RDD) and their use cases
  • Overview of Non-Experimental Designs (PSM, simple comparisons) and limitations
  • The importance of baseline and endline data collection timing
  • Assessing the Feasibility of different designs based on budget and context constraints

Practical session: Analyzing three case studies and justifying the most appropriate impact evaluation design for each, based on its context.

Module 4: Data Collection, Quality Assurance, and Introduction to Statistical Software

  • Designing quantitative instruments: survey structure and cognitive load
  • Developing a robust Data Quality Assurance (DQA) plan
  • Data entry, cleaning, and preparation principles for IE analysis
  • Introduction to Stata (or R): basic commands, data import, and descriptive statistics
  • Data handling: merging, appending, and reshaping longitudinal data

Practical session: Cleaning, labeling, and merging simulated baseline and endline survey data using Stata or R, followed by generating descriptive statistics.

Module 5: Non-Experimental Methods: Propensity Score Matching (PSM)

  • The concept of Selection Bias and why simple comparisons fail
  • The statistical purpose and underlying assumptions of PSM
  • Steps in PSM implementation: propensity score estimation, matching algorithms, and balance checking
  • Identifying the Common Support Region and trimming observations
  • Interpreting the Average Treatment Effect on the Treated (ATT)

Practical session: Implementing Propensity Score Matching (PSM) in Stata/R on a dataset and assessing covariate balance before and after matching.

Module 6: Quasi-Experimental Methods: Difference-in-Differences (DiD)

  • The fundamental concept of the DiD design and its requirement for panel data
  • The crucial Parallel Trends Assumption and methods to test it
  • Setting up the DiD regression model with interaction terms
  • Staggered adoption DiD designs and handling multiple treatment groups
  • Advantages and limitations of DiD over simpler comparison methods

Practical session: Applying the Difference-in-Differences (DiD) regression method to a two-period panel data set and interpreting the causal coefficient.

Module 7: Experimental Methods: Randomized Control Trials (RCTs)

  • Principles of randomization: individual vs. cluster randomization
  • Calculating Statistical Power and determining required sample size
  • Addressing practical challenges: ethical considerations, attrition, and contamination
  • Analysis of RCT data using simple OLS regression with fixed effects
  • Introduction to Encouragement Designs and Instrumental Variables (IV)

Practical session: Calculating the Required Sample Size for a cluster-randomized trial using given parameters (Minimum Detectable Effect, significance, and power).

Module 8: Advanced Data Analysis: Regression Analysis and Treatment Heterogeneity

  • Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression for causal impact estimation
  • Addressing endogeneity and omitted variable bias through control variables
  • Analyzing Treatment Heterogeneity: examining differential impacts across subgroups (e.g., gender, location)
  • Handling clustered and non-independent observations (Clustered Standard Errors)
  • Interpreting the results of complex interaction terms

Practical session: Running a multivariate regression model to estimate programme impact and testing for significant Treatment Heterogeneity across two key subgroups.

Module 9: Integrating Qualitative Data and Mixed-Methods Evaluation

  • The complementary role of qualitative data in impact evaluation (process tracing, context)
  • Designing qualitative data collection tools (In-depth Interviews, Focus Group Discussions)
  • Strategies for integrating QL and QN data (triangulation, embedded design)
  • Basic principles of Qualitative Data Analysis (coding and thematic analysis)
  • Using qualitative findings to explain the "why" behind quantitative impact results

Practical session: Developing a structured coding framework for a set of sample interview transcripts and linking qualitative themes to quantitative findings.

Module 10: Reporting, Dissemination, and Utilization of Evaluation Findings

  • Structuring the final Impact Evaluation Report (technical and executive summary)
  • Developing clear, evidence-based recommendations for policy and programming
  • Best practices for visualizing complex statistical results effectively
  • Strategies for presenting and communicating findings to technical and non-technical stakeholders
  • Planning for evaluation Utilization and ensuring findings inform future design

Practical session: Drafting an Executive Summary and key policy recommendations based on a simulated set of final impact evaluation results.

Requirements:

  • Participants should be reasonably proficient in English.
  • Applicants must live up to Armstrong Global Institute admission criteria.

Terms and Conditions

1. Discounts: Organizations sponsoring Four Participants will have the 5th attend Free

2. What is catered for by the Course Fees: Fees cater for all requirements for the training – Learning materials, Lunches, Teas, Snacks and Certification. All participants will additionally cater for their travel and accommodation expenses, visa application, insurance, and other personal expenses.

3. Certificate Awarded: Participants are awarded Certificates of Participation at the end of the training.

4. The program content shown here is for guidance purposes only. Our continuous course improvement process may lead to changes in topics and course structure.

5. Approval of Course: Our Programs are NITA Approved. Participating organizations can therefore claim reimbursement on fees paid in accordance with NITA Rules.

Booking for Training

Simply send an email to the Training Officer on training@armstrongglobalinstitute.com and we will send you a registration form. We advise you to book early to avoid missing a seat to this training.

Or call us on +254720272325 / +254725012095 / +254724452588

Payment Options

We provide 3 payment options, choose one for your convenience, and kindly make payments at least 5 days before the Training start date to reserve your seat:

1. Groups of 5 People and Above – Cheque Payments to: Armstrong Global Training & Development Center Limited should be paid in advance, 5 days to the training.

2. Invoice: We can send a bill directly to you or your company.

3. Deposit directly into Bank Account (Account details provided upon request)

Cancellation Policy

1. Payment for all courses includes a registration fee, which is non-refundable, and equals 15% of the total sum of the course fee.

2. Participants may cancel attendance 14 days or more prior to the training commencement date.

3. No refunds will be made 14 days or less before the training commencement date. However, participants who are unable to attend may opt to attend a similar training course at a later date or send a substitute participant provided the participation criteria have been met.

Tailor Made Courses

This training course can also be customized for your institution upon request for a minimum of 5 participants. You can have it conducted at our Training Centre or at a convenient location. For further inquiries, please contact us on Tel: +254720272325 / +254725012095 / +254724452588 or Email training@armstrongglobalinstitute.com

Accommodation and Airport Transfer

Accommodation and Airport Transfer is arranged upon request and at extra cost. For reservations contact the Training Officer on Email: training@armstrongglobalinstitute.com or on Tel: +254720272325 / +254725012095 / +254724452588

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Instructor-led Training Schedule

Course Dates Venue Fees Enroll
Jun 01 - Jun 05 2026 Zoom $1,300
Aug 03 - Aug 07 2026 Nairobi $1,500
Aug 10 - Aug 14 2026 Mombasa $1,500
Jul 20 - Jul 24 2026 Nakuru $1,500
May 11 - May 15 2026 Naivasha $1,500
May 18 - May 22 2026 Kisumu $1,500
Sep 07 - Sep 11 2026 Kigali $2,500
May 04 - May 08 2026 Kampala $2,500
May 18 - May 22 2026 Johannesburg $4,500
Jul 13 - Jul 17 2026 Pretoria $4,500
Jun 15 - Jun 19 2026 Cape Town $4,500
Jul 13 - Jul 17 2026 Cairo $4,500
Jul 20 - Jul 24 2026 Addis Ababa $4,500
May 04 - May 08 2026 Dubai $5,000
Jun 15 - Jun 19 2026 Riyadh $5,000
Apr 13 - Apr 17 2026 Doha $5,000
Jul 06 - Jul 10 2026 London $6,500
Jul 06 - Jul 10 2026 London $6,500
Apr 13 - Apr 17 2026 Paris $6,500
Jun 01 - Jun 05 2026 Berlin $6,500
Aug 10 - Aug 14 2026 Geneva $6,500
Feb 16 - Feb 20 2026 Zurich $6,500
Jul 06 - Jul 10 2026 New York $6,950
Jul 13 - Jul 17 2026 Los Angeles $6,950
Apr 20 - Apr 24 2026 Washington DC $6,950
Jul 13 - Jul 17 2026 Toronto $7,000
Aug 17 - Aug 21 2026 Vancouver $7,000
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